According to a report by The Guardian on the 9th, the latest analysis by the United States National Weather Service shows that the El Niño phenomenon is intensifying, and the risk of a strong El Niño event that could exacerbate global extreme weather conditions is continuing to rise.
Model calculations show that there is a 81% chance that the current El Niño event will become an “extremely strong” event, and it could be among the largest El Niño events recorded since 1950. The El Niño phenomenon will continue to intensify until the end of this year, with a 97% chance of lasting until early spring of 2027.
Climate scientist Daniel Swain said that the probability and intensity of El Niño are continuing to increase, and the relevant climate conditions observed so far have broken historical records. At this point in time, the intensity of this El Niño has reached or even surpassed the strongest levels in history, and this trend of intensification is expected to continue.
El Niño is a natural climate pattern where the surface waters in the central and eastern Pacific become exceptionally warm, causing changes in weather patterns around the world. It can lead to violent storms in some regions, while other areas suffer from severe droughts.
